When Genius Failed

The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management

Roger Lowenstein

10 min read
1m 5s intro

Brief summary

In 1998, a secretive hedge fund called Long-Term Capital Management believed it had mastered risk with mathematics, convincing Wall Street to lend it billions. This is the story of how a belief in mathematical certainty, combined with extreme leverage, brought the world's most powerful financiers to the brink of a global economic meltdown.

Who it's for

This book is for anyone interested in finance, risk management, and the human psychology behind market crises.

When Genius Failed

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The Crisis That Shook Wall Street

In September 1998, the leaders of the biggest banks on Wall Street were called to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York for an urgent meeting. The problem was not a recession, a war, or a major commercial bank. It was a hedge fund called Long-Term Capital Management, or LTCM, a firm few ordinary people had heard of but that was tied to nearly every major financial institution in the world.

LTCM had borrowed enormous sums and built a vast web of trades through bonds, swaps, and other derivatives. On paper, its partners believed they had spread their risk across many markets. In reality, many of those bets depended on the same calm conditions staying in place. Once fear took over, those positions all began to fail together.

The Fed was not trying to save a few wealthy investors from pain. Officials feared that if LTCM collapsed suddenly, its lenders would all rush to protect themselves at once. That could force a chain reaction of selling, freeze trading in important markets, and spread panic far beyond one fund. The men in the room did not like LTCM, but they could not ignore how dangerous its failure had become.

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About the author

Roger Lowenstein

Roger Lowenstein is an American financial journalist and author recognized for his extensive reporting on Wall Street and economic history. A former reporter for *The Wall Street Journal* for over a decade, he has authored multiple bestselling books that make complex financial and political subjects, from the creation of the Federal Reserve to the Civil War's financing, accessible to a broad audience. He also serves as a director of the Sequoia Fund.

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