When Genius Failed

The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management

Roger Lowenstein

16 min read
42s intro

Brief summary

In 1998, a secretive hedge fund called Long-Term Capital Management believed it had mastered risk with mathematics, convincing Wall Street to lend it billions. This is the story of how a belief in mathematical certainty, combined with extreme leverage, brought the world's most powerful financiers to the brink of a global economic meltdown.

Who it's for

This book is for anyone interested in finance, risk management, and the human psychology behind market crises.

When Genius Failed

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A Secret Meeting to Prevent a Global Collapse

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a forbidding fortress on Wall Street, hosted a secret gathering of financial titans in September 1998. William McDonough, the bank’s president, had summoned the leaders of every major firm to address a crisis threatening the global economy. The source of the panic was Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM), an obscure hedge fund that had become a dangerously weak link in the financial chain.

The fund was run by elite academics who believed they had mastered risk through mathematics. They achieved massive returns by borrowing billions from the very banks now sitting in the Fed’s boardroom. Their strategy relied on an astonishing $1 trillion in derivative contracts, weaving their fate into every major financial institution. When global markets unexpectedly shifted, their models shattered, leading to catastrophic losses that threatened to trigger a systemic meltdown.

McDonough urged the bankers to provide a $4 billion rescue, but the room was thick with resentment. The fund's leaders had long treated the banks with disdain, and now those same banks were reeling from their own losses tied to LTCM. The tension peaked when Bear Stearns refused to contribute. The titans of finance sat trapped between their animosity for the fund and the chilling reality that its collapse could destroy them all. Uncovering the full story required piecing together a puzzle from reluctant sources, as private talks with employees and rival bankers, along with a secret memo detailing the firm's losses, revealed the inner workings of the impending failure.

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About the author

Roger Lowenstein

Roger Lowenstein is an American financial journalist and author recognized for his extensive reporting on Wall Street and economic history. A former reporter for *The Wall Street Journal* for over a decade, he has authored multiple bestselling books that make complex financial and political subjects, from the creation of the Federal Reserve to the Civil War's financing, accessible to a broad audience. He also serves as a director of the Sequoia Fund.

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